Scioly.org

I took all 11 predictions made here and compiled them. Score is out of 10. Ignored 11th and on.
1. Troy Score: 9.727. 10 first place. 11/11 in top 10
2. Mason Score: 8.272. 4 second places, 6 third places. 11/11 in top 10
3. Solon Score: 8.182. 1 first place, 6 second place, 2 third place. 11/11 in top 10
4. Acton Score: 7.091. 3 third place. 11/11 in top 10
5. Mounds View Score: 5.636. 1 second place. 10/11 in top 10
6. Seven Lakes Score: 4.545. 11/11 in top 10
7. Columbia Score: 2.818. 9/11 in top 10
8. Harriton Score: 2.636. 8/11 in top 10
9. WWPS Score: 2.273. 8/11 in top 10
10. Mira Loma Score: 1.636. 7/11 in top 10.
Other mentions: Adlai Stevenson- 1.182, New Trier- .636, Boca Raton- .364,

Btw I credited the LM prediction to Harriton instead of Rustin. Clements predictions went to 7L (I did drop 2 places for 7L on one set of predictions that said to drop by 2 places if 7L and not Clements).
Not much diversity, only 13 teams have been put in top 10 at any point.
Edit: only other teams mentioned in top 13 was Camas (didn't make nats), Lower Merion (didn't make nats), Ward once, and Enloe a few times.

My predictions:
1. Troy
2. Solon
3. Mason
4. Acton-Boxborough
5. Mounds View
6. Harriton
7. Seven Lakes
8. Boca Raton
9. Stevenson
10. Columbia
11. New Trier
12. Mira Loma
13. Northville
14. Bayard Rustin
15. Enloe
16. WW-P South
17. TJHSST
18. Ward Melville
19. Clark
20. Brookwood

This was difficult. Everything between 8 and 17 seems pretty even.

kate! wrote:

windu34 wrote:Nationals Predictions
1.) Troy (CA)
2.) Solon (OH)
3.) Mason (OH)
4.) Acton Boxborough (MA)
5.) Mounds View (MN)
6.) Seven Lakes (TX)
7.) Harriton (PA)
8.) West Windsor Plainsboro South (NJ)
9.) Adlai E. Stevenson (IL)
10.) Boca Raton (FL)
11.) Mira Loma (CA)
12.) Columbia (NY)
13.) New Trier (IL)
14.) Enloe (NC)
15.) Ward Melville (NY)

This is a tough one for me because I'm a bit out of the loop compared to what I used to know about teams, but I think most of the top 10 will fall +/- 2 or 3 places within those. I still think Troy will win and it looks to me like Solon is right up there with them. Mason looks weaker than the previous two years. Acton is looking very strong this year. I dont know exactly what has happened to Mira Loma and Harriton since I was a competitor, but this is what the current results that we have are indicating. This is Boca Raton's strongest year yet, and I think this will be the year they break top 10.

Why is Ward Melville so high, where's Rustin, and why is Columbia so low?

1.) Because they are looking pretty decent this year
2.) Not in the top 15
3.) Cause they don't seem to be doing so hot

windu34 wrote:

kate! wrote:

windu34 wrote:Nationals Predictions
1.) Troy (CA)
2.) Solon (OH)
3.) Mason (OH)
4.) Acton Boxborough (MA)
5.) Mounds View (MN)
6.) Seven Lakes (TX)
7.) Harriton (PA)
8.) West Windsor Plainsboro South (NJ)
9.) Adlai E. Stevenson (IL)
10.) Boca Raton (FL)
11.) Mira Loma (CA)
12.) Columbia (NY)
13.) New Trier (IL)
14.) Enloe (NC)
15.) Ward Melville (NY)

This is a tough one for me because I'm a bit out of the loop compared to what I used to know about teams, but I think most of the top 10 will fall +/- 2 or 3 places within those. I still think Troy will win and it looks to me like Solon is right up there with them. Mason looks weaker than the previous two years. Acton is looking very strong this year. I dont know exactly what has happened to Mira Loma and Harriton since I was a competitor, but this is what the current results that we have are indicating. This is Boca Raton's strongest year yet, and I think this will be the year they break top 10.

Why is Ward Melville so high, where's Rustin, and why is Columbia so low?

1.) Because they are looking pretty decent this year
2.) Not in the top 15
3.) Cause they don't seem to be doing so hot

About Columbia, I know you're probably basing this on invitational results, but their most recent competition was states. They were extremely consistent, only not medaling in one event. That's basically impossible at NY C states (they got a sub 100 score). If they are able to keep the same relative level of consistency at nationals, I think they'll almost definitely be able to achieve top 10.

4Head wrote:Solon
Mounds View
Mason
Troy
Acton-Boxborough
Mira Loma
Harriton
Columbia
Seven Lakes
Stevenson

I've heard he's got some big ones, Its not that much of a bold prediction in my mind, highly plausible.

kate! wrote:

windu34 wrote:

kate! wrote: Why is Ward Melville so high, where's Rustin, and why is Columbia so low?

1.) Because they are looking pretty decent this year
2.) Not in the top 15
3.) Cause they don't seem to be doing so hot

About Columbia, I know you're probably basing this on invitational results, but their most recent competition was states. They were extremely consistent, only not medaling in one event. That's basically impossible at NY C states (they got a sub 100 score). If they are able to keep the same relative level of consistency at nationals, I think they'll almost definitely be able to achieve top 10.

Even with invite results, Columbia won Cornell.

kate! wrote:

windu34 wrote:

kate! wrote: Why is Ward Melville so high, where's Rustin, and why is Columbia so low?

1.) Because they are looking pretty decent this year
2.) Not in the top 15
3.) Cause they don't seem to be doing so hot

About Columbia, I know you're probably basing this on invitational results, but their most recent competition was states. They were extremely consistent, only not medaling in one event. That's basically impossible at NY C states (they got a sub 100 score). If they are able to keep the same relative level of consistency at nationals, I think they'll almost definitely be able to achieve top 10.

I would agree that this seems to be a strong year for Columbia compared to most, but 12th for Columbia isn't really "so low". It's on the low end, sure, but there a lot of competitive teams at that range. 12th is pretty reasonable of a prediction.

I do think Columbia has looked significantly stronger than Ward this year, so not sure how the reasoning for both 1) and 3) can coexist, but I'll let it be.

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:

kate! wrote:

windu34 wrote: 1.) Because they are looking pretty decent this year
2.) Not in the top 15
3.) Cause they don't seem to be doing so hot

About Columbia, I know you're probably basing this on invitational results, but their most recent competition was states. They were extremely consistent, only not medaling in one event. That's basically impossible at NY C states (they got a sub 100 score). If they are able to keep the same relative level of consistency at nationals, I think they'll almost definitely be able to achieve top 10.

I would agree that this seems to be a strong year for Columbia compared to most, but 12th for Columbia isn't really "so low". It's on the low end, sure, but there a lot of competitive teams at that range. 12th is pretty reasonable of a prediction.

I do think Columbia has looked significantly stronger than Ward this year, so not sure how the reasoning for both 1) and 3) can coexist, but I'll let it be.

I agree that Ward is weaker than Columbia, hence they are lower on my ranks. In retrospect, they could def fall lower than 15th (perhaps into the 20-25 range) since they seem to underperform at nationals relatively consistently if my memory serves me.
I do not think Columbia will be higher than 9th or 10th at best, so 12th is reasonable to me.

windu34 wrote:

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:

kate! wrote:About Columbia, I know you're probably basing this on invitational results, but their most recent competition was states. They were extremely consistent, only not medaling in one event. That's basically impossible at NY C states (they got a sub 100 score). If they are able to keep the same relative level of consistency at nationals, I think they'll almost definitely be able to achieve top 10.

I would agree that this seems to be a strong year for Columbia compared to most, but 12th for Columbia isn't really "so low". It's on the low end, sure, but there a lot of competitive teams at that range. 12th is pretty reasonable of a prediction.

I do think Columbia has looked significantly stronger than Ward this year, so not sure how the reasoning for both 1) and 3) can coexist, but I'll let it be.

I agree that Ward is weaker than Columbia, hence they are lower on my ranks. In retrospect, they could def fall lower than 15th (perhaps into the 20-25 range) since they seem to underperform at nationals relatively consistently if my memory serves me.
I do not think Columbia will be higher than 9th or 10th at best, so 12th is reasonable to me.

To be fair to Columbia, last year they got 12th and they only missed out on the top ten by 10 points and that was with a state score of 172. This year they had 96 and not to mention they did win Cornell. 12th is possible, but it seems like the very low end of the spectrum.