Scioly.org

My predictions so far for Division C:

1. North
2. South
3. Monty
4. Princeton
5. South Brunswick
6. JP Stevens

bromothymol wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 11:38 am I don’t have an opinion for the final order yet but I feel like based on recent years the point gap is gonna be wayyy narrower than that just because states is always so close

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 9:54 am (way too early) nj state predictions:

1) wwp north (64)
2) wwp south (93)
3) montgomery (95)
4) ebhs (149)
5) princeton high (189)
6) south brunswick (212)
7) jp stevens (213)
8) livingston high (240)

(based off regionals and invite perfornances)

yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:34 pm

bromothymol wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 11:38 am I don’t have an opinion for the final order yet but I feel like based on recent years the point gap is gonna be wayyy narrower than that just because states is always so close

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 9:54 am (way too early) nj state predictions:

1) wwp north (64)
2) wwp south (93)
3) montgomery (95)
4) ebhs (149)
5) princeton high (189)
6) south brunswick (212)
7) jp stevens (213)
8) livingston high (240)

(based off regionals and invite perfornances)

yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:47 pm

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:34 pm

bromothymol wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 11:38 am I don’t have an opinion for the final order yet but I feel like based on recent years the point gap is gonna be wayyy narrower than that just because states is always so close

yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

scioly_veteran wrote:

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:47 pm

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:34 pm yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

he is too big body to have senioritis

Predictions:
1) wwp south (70)
2) wwp north (95)
3) montgomery (101)
4) PHS (133)
5) South Brunswick(156)

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 7:00 pm

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:47 pm

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:34 pm

yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

nats medals are completely irrelevant to my argument above and it doesnt take nats medals to understand what i said lmao. also theres not even 6 build events

i'll reiterate: all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well. you can get lucky with a boomi, discover an op parachute material, get a plane that just somehow goes up, get lucky with a gravity run, whatever. builds have always been inherently inconsistent.

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 7:00 pm

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:47 pm

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:34 pm

yeah but i heard south's builds are type lacking this yr

they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

Senioritis is just a scioly boost though

lavarball wrote:

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 7:00 pm

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 6:47 pm they're good with studies though. builds are much easier to improve, studies aren't. all it takes is one good plane, boomi, parachute, etc. to do well.

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

Senioritis is just a scioly boost though

this man speaks from experience

rabbitman wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 9:03 pm

lavarball wrote:

scioly_veteran wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 7:00 pm

"bUIdS aRE muCh EasIEr tO iMprOVe"

brahhh . . . not everyone's a 6 time nats medalist in builds
(i know the south build guy very well and he has early senioritis)

Senioritis is just a scioly boost though

this man speaks from experience

ppp legend

imagine being able to get 3 ft/second consistently with a 30 inch radius parachute lmao

builderguy135 wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 9:09 pm

rabbitman wrote: ↑January 20th, 2020, 9:03 pm

lavarball wrote:

Senioritis is just a scioly boost though

this man speaks from experience

ppp legend

imagine being able to get 3 ft/second consistently with a 30 inch radius parachute lmao

idk which is more of an absolute unit, the parachute or its creator

In terms of NJ predictions, the only results we have from South this year are from LISO (where they were apparently missing lots of people, which seems in line with the results) and regionals. North has turned in awesome performances at LISO and Valley Forge, ultimately coming out on top against Rustin, Ward, Cumberland Valley, etc. I see nothing pointing to a South victory over North as of right now, so I'd just rank North as 1st and South as 2nd for now. That could also all change this weekend at MIT, so we'll see.

Montgomery looks like a solid choice for third with a strong Cornell and regionals showing. Some personal picks who I think will be fighting hard for 4th-6th at states include South Brunswick, East Brunswick, Hillsborough, JP Stevens, and Princeton. Princeton performed a bit lower at LISO and Valley Forge than I expected, so I don't know if I'd immediately place them as a strong pick for 4th, but they have time, so I can definitely imagine them picking it up.

Glad to see New York isn't the only state going to war over who gets 4th through 6th good luck to everyone competing at MIT this weekend!!