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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 18th, 2019, 5:47 pm
by waffletree
Alex-RCHS wrote:For non-PA people, what's the reasoning behind the Lower Merion hype?
they beat Harriton at regionals, and at least 1 invitational (i forget which)

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 18th, 2019, 5:51 pm
by pb5754
waffletree wrote:
Alex-RCHS wrote:For non-PA people, what's the reasoning behind the Lower Merion hype?
they beat Harriton at regionals, and at least 1 invitational (i forget which)
I believe that invitational was SOUP.

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 18th, 2019, 6:02 pm
by waffletree
pb5754[] wrote:
waffletree wrote:
Alex-RCHS wrote:For non-PA people, what's the reasoning behind the Lower Merion hype?
they beat Harriton at regionals, and at least 1 invitational (i forget which)
I believe that invitational was SOUP.
right. LM got 5th with 252 points and Harriton got 7th with 260.
at regionals, LM got 1st with 63 points, Harriton got 2nd with 72

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 19th, 2019, 5:31 am
by EastStroudsburg13
As promised, here are the ranks from the Excel spreadsheet I use. For people new to the site, this is a calculation I've developed over the years to try to help predict placements for teams. Some placements will end up being better than others, but in the past two years, both my B and C projections have been off on average by 3 places or less. This year, I've refined my "Bonus" factor a bit more, to include more specific invitational placements, so we will see if that ends up being an improvement or not. Anyway, the rankings:
1	Springhouse
2	Shady Side
3	Bala Cynwyd
4	Harlan Rowe
5	Eagle View
6	Strath Haven
7	Garnet Valley
8	Abington Heights
9	Stetson
10	Orefield
11	Hershey
12	Franklin Regional
13	Welsh Valley
14	Good Hope
15	Park Forest
16	Whitehall-Coplay
17	Kutztown Area
18	Warwick
19	Spring Grove Area
20	Norwin
21	Springton Lake
22	Winchester Thurston
23	Haverford
24	J.R. Fugett
25	Laurel
26	Wayne Highlands
27	Dallas
28	Waynesboro Area
29	Wilkes-Barre Academy
30	North Clarion
31	Quaker Valley
32	Kane Area
33	Clarion Area
34	North Pocono
35	Wattsburg Area
36	Peters Township
1	Lower Merion
2	Harriton
3	Bayard Rustin
4	Shady Side
5	Cumberland Valley
6	Penncrest
7	Conestoga
8	Northwestern Lehigh
9	North Pocono
10	Parkland
11	North Penn
12	Abington Heights
13	Garnet Valley
14	State College Area
15	Perkiomen Valley
16	Shipley
17	Stroudsburg
18	Hershey
19	Manheim Central
20	Allentown Central Catholic
21	Red Land
22	Dallas
23	North East
24	Wallenpaupack Area
25	Wyoming Area
26	Kutztown Area
27	Elizabethtown Area
28	Franklin Regional
29	Wyoming Seminary
30	Laurel
31	Quaker Valley
32	Mount Lebanon
33	Seneca
34	Winchester Thurston
35	Norwin
36	Kane Area
Who do you think is overrated/underrated? I'd probably identify Wayne Highlands and North Pocono as candidates for underrated B teams, and Perkiomen Valley and Franklin Regional as candidates for underrated C teams. I also think Shady Side is a bit high in the C rankings, as I'd probably put them no higher than 7th, but maybe the algorithm knows something, so only time will tell.

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 19th, 2019, 6:20 am
by catch-22
EastStroudsburg13 wrote:As promised, here are the ranks from the Excel spreadsheet I use. For people new to the site, this is a calculation I've developed over the years to try to help predict placements for teams. Some placements will end up being better than others, but in the past two years, both my B and C projections have been off on average by 3 places or less. This year, I've refined my "Bonus" factor a bit more, to include more specific invitational placements, so we will see if that ends up being an improvement or not. Anyway, the rankings:
1 Springhouse
2 Shady Side
3 Bala Cynwyd
4 Harlan Rowe
5 Eagle View
6 Strath Haven
7 Garnet Valley
8 Abington Heights
9 Stetson
10 Orefield
11 Hershey
12 Franklin Regional
13 Welsh Valley
14 Good Hope
15 Park Forest
16 Whitehall-Coplay
17 Kutztown Area
18 Warwick
19 Spring Grove Area
20 Norwin
21 Springton Lake
22 Winchester Thurston
23 Haverford
24 J.R. Fugett
25 Laurel
26 Wayne Highlands
27 Dallas
28 Waynesboro Area
29 Wilkes-Barre Academy
30 North Clarion
31 Quaker Valley
32 Kane Area
33 Clarion Area
34 North Pocono
35 Wattsburg Area
36 Peters Township
1 Lower Merion
2 Harriton
3 Bayard Rustin
4 Shady Side
5 Cumberland Valley
6 Penncrest
7 Conestoga
8 Northwestern Lehigh
9 North Pocono
10 Parkland
11 North Penn
12 Abington Heights
13 Garnet Valley
14 State College Area
15 Perkiomen Valley
16 Shipley
17 Stroudsburg
18 Hershey
19 Manheim Central
20 Allentown Central Catholic
21 Red Land
22 Dallas
23 North East
24 Wallenpaupack Area
25 Wyoming Area
26 Kutztown Area
27 Elizabethtown Area
28 Franklin Regional
29 Wyoming Seminary
30 Laurel
31 Quaker Valley
32 Mount Lebanon
33 Seneca
34 Winchester Thurston
35 Norwin
36 Kane Area
Who do you think is overrated/underrated? I'd probably identify Wayne Highlands and North Pocono as candidates for underrated B teams, and Perkiomen Valley and Franklin Regional as candidates for underrated C teams. I also think Shady Side is a bit high in the C rankings, as I'd probably put them no higher than 7th, but maybe the algorithm knows something, so only time will tell.
I think that State College in div c is a little understated. They were so close to cracking the top 10 last year, and after attending their first invy and having an impressive showing at regionals, I feel like 14th is just too low for them. They’re definitely on an upwards trajectory, and it would be nice to see a new team break the top 10.

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 20th, 2019, 4:32 pm
by waffletree
Here's the link to the Div B spreadsheet that I'll be running at states.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing
Everyone will be on comment, so if I miss or skip something, just comment it and I'll go back to put it when I can.

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 20th, 2019, 4:44 pm
by Anomaly
waffletree wrote:Here's the link to the Div B spreadsheet that I'll be running at states.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing
Everyone will be on comment, so if I miss or skip something, just comment it and I'll go back to put it when I can.
I actually have a combined B/C spreadsheet already made if you wanna contribute to that instead
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... kbb4Evbyzw
dxu helped with it

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 20th, 2019, 4:45 pm
by dxu46
Anomaly wrote:
waffletree wrote:Here's the link to the Div B spreadsheet that I'll be running at states.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing
Everyone will be on comment, so if I miss or skip something, just comment it and I'll go back to put it when I can.
I actually have a combined B/C spreadsheet already made if you wanna contribute to that instead
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... kbb4Evbyzw
dxu helped with it did everything except input the teams
Give me credit, man :P

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 20th, 2019, 6:14 pm
by waffletree
@everyone who's confused as to why 2 spreadsheets are up, - Anomaly and i agreed to use the one that i linked earlier, which i turned into both Div B and Div C.

Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Posted: April 22nd, 2019, 4:52 am
by lavarball
Scary week