Scioly.org

blhab wrote:1. Troy
2. Mira Loma
3. LASA
4. Harriton
5. Seven Lakes
6. Solon
7. Centerville
8. Northville
9. Stevenson
10. Acton-Boxborough
11. Mounds View

Isn't that a little low for Mounds View?

My prediction:
1. Troy
2. Mira Loma
3. Harriton
4. LASA
5. Mounds View
6. Solon
7. Centerville
8. Northville
9. Seven Lakes
10. Stevenson
11. Acton-Boxborough

IMO top 20:

1. Troy
2. Solon
3. LASA
4. Mira Loma
5. Mounds View
6. Harriton
7. Centerville
8. Acton-Boxborough
9. Seven Lakes
10. Northville
11. Stevenson
12. Columbia
13. West Windsor-Plainsboro North
14. Boca Raton
15. Ward Melville
16. Chattahoochee
17. Bayard Rustin
18. Enloe
19. Russell Independent
20. Menomonie

guesses:

1. Troy
2. LASA
3. Mira Loma
4. Solon
5. Harriton
6. Centerville
7. Mounds View
8. Northville
9. Seven Lakes
10. Acton-Boxborough

I'm not sure why a few of the rankings are placing Solon so low, considering their performance this year. Here's what I think:

1. Troy
2. Solon
3. Mira Loma
4. LASA
5. Centerville
6. Seven Lakes
7. Mounds View
8. Harriton
9. Northville
10. WW-P North

Is there an official Prediction Game this year?

Buckstops wrote:Is there an official Prediction Game this year?

Yeah, Bernard's working on it, but he's trying to make something that can automatically check submissions to make sure they meet the specifications (i.e. single school used no more than 3 times in event predictions, only 1 time for top 10), rather than running it through google forms or such where each one would have to be checked manually, so it's taking a bit longer to get it out.

Others have hit the top 10 pretty well, but I believe that Lincoln Southwest from Nebraska will break top 20 this year. They went from 40th 2014 to 23rd last year. I'm guessing 18th place.

John Richardsim wrote:

Buckstops wrote:Is there an official Prediction Game this year?

Yeah, Bernard's working on it, but he's trying to make something that can automatically check submissions to make sure they meet the specifications (i.e. single school used no more than 3 times in event predictions, only 1 time for top 10), rather than running it through google forms or such where each one would have to be checked manually, so it's taking a bit longer to get it out.

Prediction Contest is now live! See the "official" post here http://www.scioly.org/phpBB3/viewtopic. ... 64#p292764.

For this year, I decided to adapt the formula I use as a predictor for PA states to the national tournament. It takes into account state competition size and score, number of total teams in the state, performance of past teams from that state, and placings in previous national tournaments, as well as bonuses for being close to the tournament site and major invitational wins. It's a bit fudgy, especially for teams where I could not find scores, but we'll see how it does!

1. Mira Loma
2. Troy (CA)
3. Mounds View
4. Harriton
5. LASA
6. Adlai E. Stevenson
7. Centerville
8. Northville
9. Solon
10. Acton-Boxborough
11. New Trier
12. Seven Lakes
13. Columbia
14. Menomonie
15. Boca Raton
16. Bayard Rustin
17. Charter School of Wilmington
18. WWP North
19. Russell Independent
20. Ward Melville
21. Troy (MI)
22. William G. Enloe
23. Carmel
24. Brookwood
25. Iolani
26. Lincoln Southwest
27. Pembroke Hill
28. Fossil Ridge
29. Langley
30. Ladue Horton Watkins
31. Chattahoochee
32. Olathe North
33. Albuquerque Area Homeschoolers
34. Centennial
35. Raleigh Charter
36. Archimedean
37. Bothell
38. South Windsor
39. Bismarck
40. Ames
41. Catalina Foothills
42. Auburn
43. Maple Mountain
44. Bedford
45. Ed W. Clark
46. Mat-Su
47. Barrington
48. Hamilton
49. Waterville
50. Baton Rouge Magnet
51. St. Mary's
52. Capital
53. Farragut
54. Clinton
55. Casady
56. Yankton
57. Campbell County
58. Oxford
59. Huntingdon
60. Little Rock Central