Pennsylvania 2018

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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F »

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:5. Strath Haven - 49.3 (0, 1)
Wonder who this was ;) Clearly no one sane.
Matholy
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by Matholy »

To be honest, I've never really thought that Bala would place as good as 2nd. They placed 23rd and 26th at Rustin, so I've never really paid any attention to them.
I still think that Springhouse will get 1st, SSA 2nd, and eagle view 3rd.
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by pb5754 »

EastStroudsburg13 wrote: 8. Northwestern Lehigh - 22.1 (0, 1)
lol
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by Anomaly »

pb5754[] wrote:
EastStroudsburg13 wrote: 8. Northwestern Lehigh - 22.1 (0, 1)
lol
I thought the exact same thing.
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by hippo9 »

Anomaly wrote:
pb5754[] wrote:
EastStroudsburg13 wrote: 8. Northwestern Lehigh - 22.1 (0, 1)
lol
I thought the exact same thing.
When someone from Northwestern Lehigh believes in their team
2018: Battery Buggy, Road Scholar, Roller Coaster
2019: Chem Lab, Code, Disease, Fossils, Geo Maps, Sounds
2020 and 2021: Astro, Chem Lab, Code, Fossils, Geo Maps, Sounds

When you miss nats twice by a combined two points :|
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by Cow481 »

hippo9 wrote:
Anomaly wrote:
pb5754[] wrote: lol
I thought the exact same thing.
When someone from Northwestern Lehigh believes in their team
Oops, that was me, lol
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by EastStroudsburg13 »

Before I post my personal rankings, and the next iteration of the prediction rankings, here's the rankings my computer formula generated. For new people, I have used a formula to try to project all 36 teams, taking into account factors such as regional score, regional size, regional strength, past places, and invitationals attended. I have added a couple things after brief testing to hopefully make them slightly more accurate.

Now, these are not intended to be hard-fast predictions. It is generally best to take these with ranges of uncertainty of about +/- 4 places in B and +/- 3 places in C, especially in the middle of the pack where there is the most uncertainty. Also, there will be some teams that underperform or overperform based on external factors that cannot be accounted for.

Next note: if you want me to try to apply this to different states, this year or in the future, you're gonna have to send me all the data because I don't really want to go looking for it. :P But if you really want it, PM me and we can figure out something.

And lastly: yes, I know Park Forest isn't 7th. No, I cannot force the formula to put Park Forest 7th. Don't ask me about it. :P

B Division
1. Springhouse
2. Shady Side
3. Eagle View
4. Orefield
5. Bala Cynwyd
6. Garnet Valley
7. Harlan Rowe
8. Strath Haven
9. Abington Heights
10. Franklin Regional
11. Hershey
12. Stetson
13. Kutztown Area
14. Welsh Valley
15. Whitehall-Coplay
16. Park Forest
17. Dallas
18. Wayne Highlands
19. Spring Grove
20. Good Hope
21. Springton Lake
22. Wilkes-Barre Academy
23. Laurel
24. Quaker Valley
25. Haverford
26. Middletown Area
27. Winchester Thurston
28. Norwin
29. Elizabethtown Area
30. Wattsburg Area
31. Leechburg Area
32. Wilmington Area
33. Jersey Shore Area
34. Kane Area
35. Wyoming Seminary
36. Clarion Area

C Division
1. Harriton
2. Bayard Rustin
3. Lower Merion
4. Conestoga
5. Penncrest
6. Shady Side
7. Northwestern Lehigh
8. North Penn
9. Abington Heights
10. North Pocono
11. Perkiomen Valley
12. State College
13. Stroudsburg
14. Cumberland Valley
15. Garnet Valley
16. Central York
17. Parkland
18. Allentown Central Catholic
19. Shipley School
20. Hershey
21. Wyoming Area
22. Laurel
23. Cedar Cliff
24. Wallenpaupack Area
25. Manheim Central
26. Red Land
27. NWPA Collegiate Academy
28. Exeter Township
29. Norwin
30. Kutztown
31. Dallas
32. North East
33. Quaker Valley
34. Seneca
35. Plum
36. Gateway
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by Skink »

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:But if you really want it, PM me and we can figure out something.
I have so much use for this and could do it for IL next season. Undoubtedly, there's interest!
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by TheChiScientist »

Skink wrote:
EastStroudsburg13 wrote:But if you really want it, PM me and we can figure out something.
I have so much use for this and could do it for IL next season. Undoubtedly, there's interest!
I second that! Do we split the work next year Skink? :)
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Re: Pennsylvania 2018

Post by Skink »

Sounds like a plan.

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