Scioly.org

I live in Indiana, and there’s currently a person with the coronavirus near the capital. I’m afraid that if there’s a case in Lafayette, state will be cancelled. We’ve all been working on our events for hundreds of hours, and throwing away all of our hard work would be awful. State is two weeks away, and I’m hoping that the situation doesn’t get worse before then.

If nats is cancelled, will the events continue on their rotation through next year? I hope they consider using the same events again (I'd hate to see boomi go after spending so much time and money on it)

Also, a nats cancellation would be extremely disappointing to seniors (their last year rip). Would there be any chance of a preseason nats tournament in the fall?

I already ranted about this on SoCal forums, but what I find most frustrating isn't the cancellation of the tournament, but the fact that we still go to school every day and encounter more people than at a tournament. I feel that this really defeats the purpose of cancelling activities, and the lack of sanitization of things like doorknobs and desks is a bit disgusting. Being stuck in a cramped hallway with people not covering their coughs isn't the school's fault, but it's still frustrating and a bit disturbing. We all deal with this normally, too, but without the threat of a novel disease. I think cancelling activities and closing schools at this stage is a bit of an overreaction, but I feel it's time we took intermediate steps beyond reminding everyone to sneeze into their elbows and wash their hands. I wish we could have longer passing periods, even though it would disrupt the schedule... people cram into hallways to get to class on time, and long lines at restrooms don't really make washing hands feasible for most of the school day. Also, tissues are either teacher-bought or student-donated(equals: constantly in shortage).

space-egg wrote: ↑March 7th, 2020, 1:08 pm We’ve all been working on our events for hundreds of hours, and throwing away all of our hard work would be awful.

I hate to be the optimist, but although states is an amazing experience that it would be a tragedy to miss out on, your hard work would definitely not be wasted. Scioly is all about learning, not winning competitions.

Definitely not saying that it’s fine or ok that some tournaments will be canceled (I’m extremely worried as well), but we shouldn’t forget the entire purpose of scioly!

pigeon... cuomo(ny state governor) just declared a state of emergency in ny. Hopefully states doesn't get postponed or something.

Virginia just got its first case, in my county...oof

Locoholic wrote: ↑March 7th, 2020, 5:47 pm Virginia just got its first case, in my county...oof

Yup, 2 out of the 4 Pennsylvania cases are in my county... lol the other two are in a nearby county as well

About Things2Do's poll
viewtopic.php?f=22&p=413776#p413776
just saying that if there's a near guaranteed exposure to Covid-19, it will probably have spread so widely that you wouldn't face any repercussions alone such as quarantine because everyone has already contracted it and are thereby mostly quarantined with you (or there just won't be one)

also, from my own medical analysis, I'd say the mortality rate is much lower due to the fact that covid-19 can pass virtually undetected due to its symptoms being so mild in most people making it so that the actual infected count is higher than the reported one, therefore making the current mortality rate overinflated. further the news is hyping up this story way too much to make profit off of it and that's the main danger

JoeyC wrote: ↑March 7th, 2020, 7:33 pm About Things2Do's poll
viewtopic.php?f=22&p=413776#p413776
just saying that if there's a near guaranteed exposure to Covid-19, it will probably have spread so widely that you wouldn't face any repercussions alone such as quarantine because everyone has already contracted it and are thereby mostly quarantined with you (or there just won't be one)

also, from my own medical analysis, I'd say the mortality rate is much lower due to the fact that covid-19 can pass virtually undetected due to its symptoms being so mild in most people making it so that the actual infected count is higher than the reported one, therefore making the current mortality rate overinflated. further the news is hyping up this story way too much to make profit off of it and that's the main danger

I'd like to note that death rates (more specifically, case fatality rates) are likely to vary wildly for a new disease. There's a good chance of the CFR going up or down significantly. E.g. the former could be the case if there are many untested deaths from the new disease, and the latter if many mild cases go unreported at this early stage, as with the 2009 swine flu pandemic. In fact, I'd say it's likely that both of these will have significant effects on the eventual final fatality rate.

Current CFRs vary significantly by country too, from ~0.5% in South Korea to variously ~5 to ~12% in Iran. I believe China's official stats have been around 2-3%. And as the poll notes, the CFR is roughly 0.5-1% for most age ranges, rising to around 5-15% for people over the age of around 60 or 70 (as I said before, varies too much to have any confident data).

JoeyC wrote: ↑March 7th, 2020, 7:33 pm About Things2Do's poll
viewtopic.php?f=22&p=413776#p413776
just saying that if there's a near guaranteed exposure to Covid-19, it will probably have spread so widely that you wouldn't face any repercussions alone such as quarantine because everyone has already contracted it and are thereby mostly quarantined with you (or there just won't be one)

also, from my own medical analysis, I'd say the mortality rate is much lower due to the fact that covid-19 can pass virtually undetected due to its symptoms being so mild in most people making it so that the actual infected count is higher than the reported one, therefore making the current mortality rate overinflated. further the news is hyping up this story way too much to make profit off of it and that's the main danger

My guess is that, if it comes to a point, which it won't, that the majority of the population has it, they'd probably start quarantining the healthy individuals that ain't had it...

I agree with your tiny text... If you die from it, you're gonna be tested and become a statistic. If you're like me and wouldn't go to the doctor without a 105 degree* fever with the flu, you're not gonna run out and get tested for Coronavirus, and then you won't be in the statistics. Not to mention that everyone's selling outta masks that will do no good against a virus, and I'd guess that ad rates have gone up a bit because more people will be watching for virus coverage on the news.

*My normal is 96.8 degrees, not 98.6, so I would go before 105.