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Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 14th, 2019, 2:51 pm
by TheCrazyChemist
dxu46 wrote:Unome wrote:
Marie Murphy has nothing on Daniel Wright. I expect Nationals will end up much like 2016 did (though I think Daniel Wright is weaker than they were at that time).
I doubt it. While Daniel Wright got a lot of firsts, they're not very consistent. Marie Murphy got 3 firsts (one of them being the one that made them lose last year LOL), but the rest (save Game On, Thermo, and WIDI) are consistently medaling. Consistency is key; after all, that's what brought a lot of teams down (like Bay Academy this year, Beckendorff at nats 2018, probably more that i'm not thinking of)
Solon at Cornell maybe.
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 14th, 2019, 3:08 pm
by sciolyperson1
TheCrazyChemist wrote:dxu46 wrote:Unome wrote:
Marie Murphy has nothing on Daniel Wright. I expect Nationals will end up much like 2016 did (though I think Daniel Wright is weaker than they were at that time).
I doubt it. While Daniel Wright got a lot of firsts, they're not very consistent. Marie Murphy got 3 firsts (one of them being the one that made them lose last year LOL), but the rest (save Game On, Thermo, and WIDI) are consistently medaling. Consistency is key; after all, that's what brought a lot of teams down (like Bay Academy this year, Beckendorff at nats 2018, probably more that i'm not thinking of)
Solon at Cornell maybe.
*Literally every team at Cornell
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 14th, 2019, 3:36 pm
by Unome
When predicting higher-level tournaments using lower-level results, number of gold medals tends to be a far better predictor of success than relative point scores.
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 7:07 am
by Tailsfan101
So TCS, are you going to be posting prediction contest results soon?
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 7:12 am
by TheChiScientist
Tailsfan101 wrote:So TCS, are you going to be posting prediction contest results soon?
Yes, I plan on doing that once I got time...
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 10:40 am
by TheCrazyChemist
sciolyperson1 wrote:TheCrazyChemist wrote:dxu46 wrote:
I doubt it. While Daniel Wright got a lot of firsts, they're not very consistent. Marie Murphy got 3 firsts (one of them being the one that made them lose last year LOL), but the rest (save Game On, Thermo, and WIDI) are consistently medaling. Consistency is key; after all, that's what brought a lot of teams down (like Bay Academy this year, Beckendorff at nats 2018, probably more that i'm not thinking of)
Solon at Cornell maybe.
*Literally every team at Cornell
You guys (Community) weren't consistent in herpetology, that's literally it.
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 1:46 pm
by builderguy135
TheCrazyChemist wrote:sciolyperson1 wrote:TheCrazyChemist wrote:
Solon at Cornell maybe.
*Literally every team at Cornell
You guys (Community) weren't consistent in herpetology, that's literally it.
Neither anat, buggy, circuit, density, dynamic, mystery, or solar.
My point is, a team will not become extremely good without being consistent. Last year, for example, we were 11th in terms of medals. However, we had a TON of 7th-10th places and relatively few bombs.
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 3:05 pm
by 19alekb
i believe marie murphy is going to get 10th at nats
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 4:51 pm
by dxu46
19alekb wrote:i believe marie murphy is going to get 10th at nats
I think (you guys?) will do better than that, all depends on bombs.
Re: Illinois 2019
Posted: April 15th, 2019, 5:22 pm
by 19alekb
well thanks for the confidence in us. i think we are very consistent overall except in 3 events. let's just hope they get their act together before nats.