I'm more inclined to believe Rustin wasn't at their strongest at BVF, and that they improved. Rustin has a history of strengthening as the year goes on. I doubt that there was any significant fall-off in CV's performance.Sc1olygod wrote: ↑Wed Feb 12, 2020 5:11 am Cv really looked like they really dropped off in between Battle at Valley Forge and Solon. They beat rustin superscored by over 60, and then lost to them by over 30 at solon. I think Rustin is either pushing forward or CV is struggling to improve. We saw this same situation last season as well.
Over my years of analysis, I have developed a school of thought that fully stacking exaggerates the placement of teams that were very unstacked. That's why I like taking the average of the stacked score and the score of that school's best placed team, as it balances scores out a little back in favor of teams that attained scores with one combination of 15 participants. If LM does really well at SOUP, I'm not against putting them back into the conversation for 2nd/3rd, but I haven't seen it from them yet.CrayolaCrayon wrote: ↑Wed Feb 12, 2020 6:09 amWhat in particular makes you think LM is near 4th? Nothing against your predictions, I'm trying to understand the rationale of putting them at 4th, when at Princeton, their stacked score nearly matched Rustins.EastStroudsburg13 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 11, 2020 6:55 pm
As more time goes on, the more convinced I become that Lower Merion is competing with Shady Side for 4th. However, Princeton was their best performance so far. SOUP will go a long way in seeing if LM can put some distance between them and SSA.
