Re: Georgia 2017
Posted: March 25th, 2017, 10:14 am
No matter the outcome, I will call the day a success as I did not over buy the pizza order.Unome wrote:Div C poll is closed, here are the final tallies:
1. Brookwood - 97.6 (13)
2. Chattahoochee - 92.4 (4)
3. GSMST - 70.6
4. Milton - 64.7
5. Johns Creek - 54.1
6. Northview - 46.5
7. Walton - 31.2
8. Duluth - 25.9
9. Westminster - 22.9
10. Eagles - 9.4
Others receiving votes: Alpharetta, McIntosh (6.5), Fulton Science Academy, North Springs (5.3), Augusta Area Homeschoolers (2.9), Forsyth Central, North Oconee, Northgate (2.4), River Ridge (0.6).
My predictions (hopefully I won't miss a team by as much as I did Chamblee...)
1. Brookwood – Despite several strong showings by Chattahoochee (most notably at MIT), Brookwood continues to stay ahead in-state; in addition, with history behind them, they’re likely more motivated to win.
2. Chattahoochee – Although they’ve done substantially better than Brookwood at out of state tournaments and early in the season, they tend not to do as well within the state, losing to Brookwood at regionals by a small margin.
3. GSMST – They finished in second at Brookwood invitational, but only 8 points ahead of a much weakened Chattahoochee team, and their regional score wasn’t as impressive as it should be. While they could manage to beat Chattahoochee, I’d say it’s unlikely.
4. Milton – With solid results at invitationals this year, Milton has managed to distance themselves somewhat from the teams behind them, and should be able to maintain their place in the top 5.
5. Johns Creek – Johns Creek has been doing generally better over the last few years, beating regular top ten teams at regionals this year and last year, and seemed quite a bit ahead of Duluth at regionals (and I’m sure going to MIT helped with motivation and experience), so barring a turnaround from Northview, they have a good shot at top 5.
6. Northview – Although they finished rather poorly at regionals (almost missing out on qualifying for state), Northview has been one of the most consistent teams in the state, finishing between 3rd and 6th every year since 2005. To the best of my knowledge they’ve never done this badly at regionals, but it has happened enough times with other teams (see: Chattahoochee and Chamblee Charter in 2013, and Chattahoochee in 2014) that I’m not willing to put them much lower than this.
7. Walton – Walton seems not to have changed much with the influx of Dodgen competitors, so I’ll go on the assumption that they’re the kind of team that isn’t much influenced by Div B experience (whether due to a lack of interest or other things, I’m not sure). They still did as well as usual at regionals, finishing far ahead of River Ridge, though similarly far behind Brookwood and Chattahoochee, so they’ll likely remain in the top ten.
8. Westminster – Although they didn’t qualify for state in 2015 after several years in the top ten, they bounced back last year to 12th. A strong regionals win with several gold medals is what convinced me to put them back in here.
9. Duluth – Having been in the top ten for the last four years running, they don’t look in any position to stop now, finishing 2nd and 3rd at regionals.
10. Northgate – A tough spot to pick. Eagles beat Northview at regionals rather suddenly, but Northgate beating a usual top ten team is pretty impressive, even if we have yet to see how losing Booth will affect McIntosh. I wouldn’t be surprised to see either Eagles or McIntosh anywhere in the bottom half of the top ten however.
Honorable Mentions: McIntosh High School, Eagles Home Educators.
Good luck to everyone tomorrow! (here's the live medal sheet link)