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Bazinga+ wrote:also, SOLON is most probobly going to win. also, magsig and springhouse probs be top ten. Also Beckendorff... they got 2nd at their state so even if they do get top ten, the people who beat them will too.

If you put those teams in three have to come out... How would you say they would be.

mrburrito wrote:Okay, so this is my top 30 prediction. I didn't want to go for top 60 because the bottom half is impossible to guess. Let me know if you see any glaring mistakes.

1. Daniel Wright Junior High School B10
2. Solon Middle School B11
3. Winston Churchill Middle School B2
4. Meads Mill Middle School B5
5. Science and Arts Academy B9
6. Muscatel Middle School B1
7. Paul J. Gelinas Junior High School B7
8. Beckendorff Junior High School B16
9. J. C. Booth Middle School B19
10. Shady Side Academy B13
11. Magsig Middle School B12
12. Eagle Hill Middle School B8
13. Dodgen Middle School B20
14. Piedmont Middle School B3
15. Longfellow Middle School B34
16. Thomas Jefferson Middle School B23
17. Bearden Middle School B36
18. Riverwood Middle School B15
19. Auburn Jr. High School B27
20. West Windsor-Plainsboro Community Middle School B37
21. Pembroke Hill Middle School B18
22. Springhouse Middle School B14
23. Hamilton Middle School B31
24. Ladue Middle School B17
25. Jay M. Robinson Middle School B4
26. Lakeshore Middle School B6
27. Preston Middle School B28
28. Orlando Science School B21
29. Albuquerque Area Home Schoolers B32
30. Henry B. du Pont Middle School B35

Gee, Jay M. Robinson 25th? Seems a bit generous. And Orlando Science School 28th? Okay...

Bazinga+ wrote:also, SOLON is most probobly going to win. also, magsig and springhouse probs be top ten. Also Beckendorff... they got 2nd at their state so even if they do get top ten, the people who beat them will too.

Eh. I think that Beckendorff actually did pretty well, and that Riverwood improved a lot in comparison to last year. They lost by one point (63 v. 64), and likely could have done better. Aside from Water Quality (which Beckendorff is generally very strong in; they got second at nationals last year) and Disease Detectives (Disease wasn't even that bad; 7th is okay), everything was top 5. Riverwood dropped a lot of national events (which, of course, they haven't been very strong in [iirc], such as Shock Value and Experimental Design) that they will have to do at nationals. Riverwood's best finish at nationals has been 20th, whereas Beckendorff's is 5th. Of course, a team that has done well in the past does not necessarily do well now/in the future, and in the same manner, a team that has doesn't get top 10 in the past might get it in the future.

However, this is not to say that Riverwood will do bad or Beckendorff will do good. Regardless of the fact that Riverwood did state events, they still showed to be very adept competitors. In my opinion, they have a good chance of breaking top 20-25. I'm not saying that Beckendorff will certainly beat Riverwood, but I'm not saying that they should be counted out.

It should also be noted that Seven Lakes got second to Clements last year at state. SLHS got 6th at nationals, whereas Clements got 30th. State performance, especially in close states like Texas where state events are commonly used, could be (and is) used as a benchmark for national performance, but in my opinion, should not necessarily be considered prophetic or a guarantee of what has yet to happen.

TL;DR: I predict Beckendorff will do just fine.

EDIT: They did.

mrburrito wrote:Okay, so this is my top 30 prediction. I didn't want to go for top 60 because the bottom half is impossible to guess. Let me know if you see any glaring mistakes.

1. Daniel Wright Junior High School B10
2. Solon Middle School B11
3. Winston Churchill Middle School B2
4. Meads Mill Middle School B5
5. Science and Arts Academy B9
6. Muscatel Middle School B1
7. Paul J. Gelinas Junior High School B7
8. Beckendorff Junior High School B16
9. J. C. Booth Middle School B19
10. Shady Side Academy B13
11. Magsig Middle School B12
12. Eagle Hill Middle School B8
13. Dodgen Middle School B20
14. Piedmont Middle School B3
15. Longfellow Middle School B34
16. Thomas Jefferson Middle School B23
17. Bearden Middle School B36
18. Riverwood Middle School B15
19. Auburn Jr. High School B27
20. West Windsor-Plainsboro Community Middle School B37
21. Pembroke Hill Middle School B18
22. Springhouse Middle School B14
23. Hamilton Middle School B31
24. Ladue Middle School B17
25. Jay M. Robinson Middle School B4
26. Lakeshore Middle School B6
27. Preston Middle School B28
28. Orlando Science School B21
29. Albuquerque Area Home Schoolers B32
30. Henry B. du Pont Middle School B35

I'd say Dodgen could take top ten, and Bearden should be a bit higher. Everything else is great (though I personally think Solon will win).

Unome wrote:

mrburrito wrote:Okay, so this is my top 30 prediction. I didn't want to go for top 60 because the bottom half is impossible to guess. Let me know if you see any glaring mistakes.

1. Daniel Wright Junior High School B10
2. Solon Middle School B11
3. Winston Churchill Middle School B2
4. Meads Mill Middle School B5
5. Science and Arts Academy B9
6. Muscatel Middle School B1
7. Paul J. Gelinas Junior High School B7
8. Beckendorff Junior High School B16
9. J. C. Booth Middle School B19
10. Shady Side Academy B13
11. Magsig Middle School B12
12. Eagle Hill Middle School B8
13. Dodgen Middle School B20
14. Piedmont Middle School B3
15. Longfellow Middle School B34
16. Thomas Jefferson Middle School B23
17. Bearden Middle School B36
18. Riverwood Middle School B15
19. Auburn Jr. High School B27
20. West Windsor-Plainsboro Community Middle School B37
21. Pembroke Hill Middle School B18
22. Springhouse Middle School B14
23. Hamilton Middle School B31
24. Ladue Middle School B17
25. Jay M. Robinson Middle School B4
26. Lakeshore Middle School B6
27. Preston Middle School B28
28. Orlando Science School B21
29. Albuquerque Area Home Schoolers B32
30. Henry B. du Pont Middle School B35

I'd say Dodgen could take top ten, and Bearden should be a bit higher. Everything else is great (though I personally think Solon will win).

Bearden will not crack top 20. And for the 1st time ever, the Georgia team with the most state gold medals will not be at Nationals. That should through a bit of uncertainty into the Ga team placements.

mrburrito wrote:Okay, so this is my top 30 prediction. I didn't want to go for top 60 because the bottom half is impossible to guess. Let me know if you see any glaring mistakes.

1. Daniel Wright Junior High School B10
2. Solon Middle School B11
3. Winston Churchill Middle School B2
4. Meads Mill Middle School B5
5. Science and Arts Academy B9
6. Muscatel Middle School B1
7. Paul J. Gelinas Junior High School B7
8. Beckendorff Junior High School B16
9. J. C. Booth Middle School B19
10. Shady Side Academy B13
11. Magsig Middle School B12
12. Eagle Hill Middle School B8
13. Dodgen Middle School B20
14. Piedmont Middle School B3
15. Longfellow Middle School B34
16. Thomas Jefferson Middle School B23
17. Bearden Middle School B36
18. Riverwood Middle School B15
19. Auburn Jr. High School B27
20. West Windsor-Plainsboro Community Middle School B37
21. Pembroke Hill Middle School B18
22. Springhouse Middle School B14
23. Hamilton Middle School B31
24. Ladue Middle School B17
25. Jay M. Robinson Middle School B4
26. Lakeshore Middle School B6
27. Preston Middle School B28
28. Orlando Science School B21
29. Albuquerque Area Home Schoolers B32
30. Henry B. du Pont Middle School B35

Piedmont isn't going to do that well, I'd say about 20th. Bearden is a bit too high, and I think Orlando Science School won't come anywhere near where they are on your rankings.

Well, there goes every prediction on this list...

Unome wrote:Well, there goes every prediction on this list...

Well, I think we had some fun destroying all these predictions.

But yeah, definitely some very surprising results. Scores were close, and it pretty much came down to how bad the worst events were.

cupcakegirl wrote:

Unome wrote:Well, there goes every prediction on this list...

Well, I think we had some fun destroying all these predictions.

But yeah, definitely some very surprising results. Scores were close, and it pretty much came down to how bad the worst events were.

Well done.
Now I have to start preparing for next year...