New Jersey 2020

[bromothymol]

After Yale Invite 2020, my [completely unbiased] predictions have changed slightly, but not by much:

Here goes 2020 NJ States predictions round 2 (based solely off MIT and Yale Invites) (plus regionals for 5 and 6):

1) West Windsor-Plainsboro HS North (69)
2) Montgomery HS (77)
3) West Windsor-Plainsboro HS South (89)
4) South Brunswick HS (147)
5) East Brunswick HS (148)
6) Still debating between JPS and PHS (~200)

South's builds still seem to be lacking and it's going to cost them the state title this year. Monty came in with a stronger than predicted performance at Yale which is usual of Monty. Monty usually has ups and downs (bi annually?) for some reason, but this year seems to be their good year. But anyways, North pulled off an impressive third at MIT with their unstacked team, beating out South's completely stacked team. They have some great talent. South also has good talent with select study events, but some of their study events, especially fossils, detector building, and dynamic planet, seem to be lacking. Mostly earth science events actually, but that can all change before states. Overall, NJ states is always interesting because of the North-South bloodbath, but it may very well be a North-Monty battle this year. Stay tuned for my updated prediction after Princeton/Penn!

From what I heard, South was missing some people at Yale (CMIMC maybe?), so Yale wouldn't be a great representation for how good their team is. Can anyone validate this?

south has only sent a full team once this year

[awildbeast]

Parasitology 2nd Trial Event for Div C

[sciolyperson1]

NJ States Awards Ranking: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =489298369

Template: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =489298369

[Fallsbury]

kinda early but thx sciolyperson1

[scioly_veteran]

My [Unbiased] Updated NJ Predictions after Princeton Invite:
PUSO Results: https://app.avogadro.ws/invitational/pr ... 9Cvc9qGsS4

After taking a look at Princeton Invite results, I changed my mind slightly. Here goes my updated predictions for NJ States 2020: (Explanation will be provided after)

1) West Windsor-Plainsboro HS North (57)
2) West Windsor-Plainsboro HS South (84)
3) Montgomery HS (112)
4) South Brunswick HS (198)
5) East Brunswick HS (212)
6) Princeton HS (284)

Based off Princeton, I have to start by commending North on their impressive performance. They humiliated South with a total score of 114 versus South's total score of 257. Most notably, North had just 3 events where they placed greater than 10th place, but all three were all better than 19th place, which clearly shows that North is capable of performing consistently in almost all their events. On the other hand, South's builds once again [as predicted in my previous post] weighed them down tremendously [failing to place in any of their build events at PUSO]. At this current rate, I can only see this pattern to be continued at the State level. I actually had the chance to personally talk with one of South's primary builders, and he just seemed to be as uncommitted to Science Olympiad in general this year, so I'm not sure how they will manage to step their builds up. Despite all this, the most important thing to point out is the fact that South brought their 95% stacked teams to Princeton [and I confirmed this with all four of their captains], so I can only speculate that these performances will be carried onto NJ States (and even stronger performances for North, as North was unstacked). What was also notable was that Montgomery was close behind South, placing fifth with an overall score of 285. They still have potential to beat out South this year, but are a far shot away from coming close to North. Also, South Brunswick and East Brunswick seem to be relatively close in terms of performance, just as South and Montgomery are, so 4 and 5 could be easily swapped for States. I still have yet to see JP Stevens at any invites, but Princeton HS had a much weaker than anticipated performance at PUSO, compared to previous years. In conclusion, this year's state title will most probably go to North, and it may very easily be one of those years where the final score of the state champ team is a sub 60 score. North has been weak in either study or builds in previous years, but this year they've managed to work to perfect both parts. South does have a chance of returning to reign as state champs, but most likely not this year. Let me know if you agree or disagree with my predictions in the comments below!

Stay tuned for my last set of predictions after Penn invite!!

[hmmm]

these performances will be carried onto NJ States (and even stronger performances for North, as North was unstacked).

We stacked...

[bromothymol]

Despite all this, the most important thing to point out is the fact that South brought their 95% stacked teams to Princeton [and I confirmed this with all four of their captains]

wait a second how does 95% stacked even work and why was I not aware of this

[Unome]

Despite all this, the most important thing to point out is the fact that South brought their 95% stacked teams to Princeton [and I confirmed this with all four of their captains]

wait a second how does 95% stacked even work and why was I not aware of this

It means not putting that 15th person on the stacked team to do 1 event when they could be on the second team and do 3 or 4.

[sciolyperson1]

Lol, don't both scioly_veteran and bromothymol go to WWP South?

[bromothymol]

Lol, don't both scioly_veteran and bromothymol go to WWP South?

I have no idea who this scioly_veteran person even is lol probably some random troll from North